The discussion was interesting on two levels. First, content-wise it was of course interesting to hear what the US take on the 2007 post-election violence was and what its hopes and aims for Kenya's future are. For the sake of the KEP-ers reading this (you mock, but I know you do!), I'll see if I can note the main points to come out of the discussion:
- First of all, the ambassador was quick to point out, with significant pride, that the US - when it became apparent during the vote count that things were being fiddled by both candidates - was the only power to push for a political settlement over calling fresh elections which is what Britain and the EU did. The sense of pride he took from this seemed a little odd - lets face it, neither solution was going to stop people feeling bitterly disappointed that Odinga hadn't won, but I'll come back to this a bit later. The other brief aside to add to this is that the elections were a lot closer than the media portrayed, with blatant vote-fixing on both sides. Odinga - contrary to the (utterly flawed) polls - was never going to run away with it.
- America's current policy with regards to Kenya is to really put pressure on them to implement this new constitution. This is no mean feat seeing as both Kibaki and Odinga essentially just want to preserve the status quo - that is, limited accountability, corruption, personalistic politics.
- In addition, the ambassador himself seems to have a real passion for focussing on the young people in Kenya. In encouraging them to join the equivalent of our youth councils and engaging them in political discussions he seems to have become less than popular among the kenyan elite. I have to say that I think this is the most hopeful thing not just for Kenyan politics but for African politics in general - to cut short a topic I could go on and on about, the most significant obstacle I see to democratic consolidation in Africa isn't the region's poverty but its current political personnel (though thats not at all to imply the two are mutually exclusive).
- The US isn't concerned about Chinese investment in the region: he recognised that China had no intentions whatsoever to involve itself in the politics of Kenya and that its investment was purely infrastructural. It was interesting that he noted that this was undercutting the emergence of small- and medium-businesses in Kenya which is damaging, yet in the same breath suggested that the US would do well to go back to delivering aid as it used to in the form of infrastructural projects....
- The final thing of note was his predictions for the 2012 elections: unless the new constitution is properly implemented, he imagines that the potential for more violence in 2012 is significant.
The second level on which the discussion was interesting was that I feel like it gave me quite a unique glimpse of what an American ambassador is like, and a better understanding of what actually goes on in these discussions with the likes of Odinga and Kibaki behind closed doors. In terms of Ranneberger's frankness and his real willingness to with engage us, I really can't fault him. But at the same time, there was a lot in the way he spoke that I found very difficult to admire or like.
For example, on recounting a meeting he had been present at with Condoleezza Rice, he proudly exclaimed that: "She just ripped right through them, she tore Kibaki to pieces! It was brilliant, I've never seen anyone speak to anyone like that! She just ripped right through him and told him straight!" More recently, Hillary Clinton also "Tore Odinga to pieces! I'd never dare use such forceful language! It was incredible!" - you get the picture.
There's a lot wrong with the way so many African politicians go about their business, no doubt. And its certainly true that its absolutely paramount that Kibaki and Odinga don't get away with dragging their feet with respect to implementing the political reforms that they have agreed to. But at the same time, when I hear a US ambassador talking like this I feel just as much - if not even more - despair for the prospects of democracy not just in Africa's fledglings, but those all over the world. Why? Because it smacks of US arrogance, something that countless commentators (most of whom are Americans, I should add) have warned against for a considerable amount of time now. Its because of language like this, no doubt, that so many people in these developing countries view the US with such deep suspicion, and also why leaders of these developing countries are increasingly turning to China for aid: as Senegalese President Abdoulaye Wade has said; "China's approach to our needs is simply better adapted than the patronizing post-colonial approach".
In taking this gung-ho, "here's what we want and here's what you'l do" approach, the US risks alienating a lot of people - and that would be bad - very bad - for democratic prospects. Taking one issue to highlight this: It's of course correct to highlight human rights abuses, but at the same time US representatives have got to be far more sensitive to the thin line they are walking, and need to realise that often they appear sanctimonious and thoroughly hypocritical (Guantanamo, anyone? Should we make a list?) - not just to political elites, but their populations too. I found it odd when he claimed that 'Kenyans really love Americans', because thats not the impression I got at all. Granted, they love Obama, but thats very different to liking US policy in Africa. On the whole, I was staggered to find that Kenyans thought far higher of Britons than they did Americans but who knows - maybe I wasn't speaking to the right people. I'm certainly not saying that America has no right to push these political elites for change - of course it does, and it should. But some ways are less damaging than others.
And I suppose this goes back to my post about Cathy Ashton's lecture and the Chatham House report which said that America would do better to stop trying to lead all on its own as the world's supreme superhero. Unfortunately though, from the 2-hour glimpse I got of Michael Ranneberger I saw no signs of change. In his estimations, America is the only power really taking an active interest in Kenya, the US has all the ideas, and its the one applying all the pressure. In short, its not the amount of pressure being applied that worries me, its far more the manner in which the US is going about it...